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Computer Weekly - CVE Volumes Set to Increase 25%

Quantifies the accelerating growth in CVE volume and identifies the 14-day 'Honeypot-to-Advisory' lead time as a critical window for proactive defense.

Summary

CVE volume is predicted to increase by 25% to 34,888 vulnerabilities in 2024, driven by the professionalization of cybercrime and an increase in CVE Numbering Authorities (CNAs). This surge results in pervasive alert fatigue, as security teams are under-resourced to manage up to 3,000 new monthly disclosures. Coalition's honeypot research found that for major supply chain zero-days like MOVEit (CVE-2023-34362), active exploitation was detectable over a fortnight before the vendor issued its first advisory. Managed detection and response (MDR) is identified as a critical tool for reducing attack response times by up to 50% compared to 'set-and-forget' technology solutions that fail to provide human-led risk prioritization.

Related Checks

VULN_RECENT_FREQUENCY

3,000 new CVEs published every month means packages with high vulnerability frequency demand the most urgent attention from overwhelmed security teams.

Adverse Outcome

systemic breach due to a critical patch being lost in the noise of accelerating CVE disclosure volume

Because

identifying packages with high recent vulnerability frequency is essential to prioritize remediation when monthly disclosure volume makes manual triage impossible.

Gaps Analysis

Evidence

Honeypot network identified activity targeting MOVEit over a fortnight before Progress Software issued its first advisory.

Blind Spot

Risk Guard relies on official advisories but lacks visibility into 'Honeypot Telemetry' that could alert users to zero-day activity 2 weeks earlier.

Actionable Capability

Risk Guard would be better if it integrated 'Honeypot Activity' signals that flagged components being actively scanned or exploited prior to an official CVE assignment.

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